Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.004993 0.005267 0.005550 0.005864 0.006204 0.006562 0.006967
2025-12-07 0.004476 0.004869 0.005294 0.005788 0.006351 0.006975 0.007722
2025-12-14 0.004185 0.004647 0.005160 0.005778 0.006506 0.007343 0.008391
2025-12-21 0.003863 0.004353 0.004910 0.005595 0.006425 0.007407 0.008677
2025-12-28 0.003705 0.004233 0.004843 0.005612 0.006566 0.007729 0.009280
2026-01-04 0.003598 0.004160 0.004824 0.005676 0.006760 0.008115 0.009982
2026-01-11 0.003453 0.004033 0.004728 0.005635 0.006812 0.008318 0.010448
2026-01-18 0.003338 0.003936 0.004661 0.005624 0.006896 0.008559 0.010976
2026-01-25 0.003219 0.003826 0.004572 0.005576 0.006925 0.008724 0.011402
2026-02-01 0.003178 0.003812 0.004602 0.005683 0.007163 0.009183 0.012275
2026-02-08 0.003087 0.003730 0.004539 0.005660 0.007220 0.009389 0.012788
2026-02-15 0.003010 0.003662 0.004492 0.005656 0.007299 0.009627 0.013364
2026-02-22 0.002904 0.003553 0.004386 0.005568 0.007258 0.009691 0.013677
2026-03-01 0.002810 0.003457 0.004296 0.005497 0.007237 0.009781 0.014037
2026-03-08 0.002745 0.003398 0.004251 0.005487 0.007303 0.010003 0.014625
2026-03-15 0.002626 0.003262 0.004098 0.005317 0.007123 0.009838 0.014551
2026-03-22 0.002579 0.003223 0.004076 0.005333 0.007221 0.010108 0.015237
2026-03-29 0.002551 0.003207 0.004085 0.005393 0.007386 0.010493 0.016156
2026-04-05 0.002491 0.003146 0.004028 0.005355 0.007398 0.010629 0.016637
2026-04-12 0.002444 0.003100 0.003992 0.005344 0.007452 0.010836 0.017262
2026-04-19 0.002387 0.003041 0.003934 0.005300 0.007449 0.010946 0.017713
2026-04-26 0.002379 0.003049 0.003972 0.005399 0.007681 0.011467 0.019009
2026-05-03 0.002334 0.003003 0.003931 0.005378 0.007715 0.011647 0.019640